Fed leaves rates unchanged: What it means for credit cards, mortgages, auto loans and savings accounts - CNBC
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at its October meeting, even as rising energy costs threaten to keep inflation elevated and further strain already-tight household budgets.
Higher energy prices stemming from the war with Iran may prove stickier than expected, but the central bank's decision to hold rates steady gives policymakers more time to assess the economic fallout. The dynamic could also lead Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh and the Federal Open Market Committee to consider raising rates at their December meeting in order to bring inflation down to the Fed's 2% target.
For now, however, persistent inflation and higher borrowing costs are compounding affordability challenges for many households, economists say.
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, said in a post on Oct. 12 that the war has cost the average American household about $2,000 so far, mostly due to higher energy costs, in addition to heightened interest rate costs.
"High-net-worth consumers are enjoying the runup in AI stocks and the value of their equity holdings, and are spending with some gusto," Zandi told CNBC. "Lower- and middle-income consumers are increasingly struggling with falling real wages and high rates, and are much more cautious and careful spenders."
The Federal Reserve's decision to keep rates at the current target range of 3.75% to 4%, and the expectation that more rate increases are in the pipeline, means consumers are unlikely to see much relief from high borrowing costs anytime soon.
The Fed influences the federal funds rate, an interest rate benchmark that sets what banks charge each other for overnight lending. That rate ripples throughout the economy, influencing both consumer borrowing costs and returns on savings.
Short-term consumer lending rates, such as credit cards, closely track the prime rate, which typically moves in tandem with the Fed's benchmark and is generally about 3 percentage points higher. Longer-term rates, like those on 30-year mortgages, meanwhile, are driven more by inflation expectations and the economic outlook.
Credit cards provide one of the clearest examples of the Fed's influence. Because most cards have variable rates, borrowers typically see changes in the federal funds rate passed on within one to two billing cycles.
But even as the Fed's benchmark rate has largely held steady — except for September's 25-basis-point increase — the average credit card interest rate has been trending higher amid concerns of rising delinquencies in the face of stubborn inflation, according to LendingTree.
"Credit card rates have risen for three straight months and are now at their highest levels since December 2025," said Matt Schulz, LendingTree's chief consumer finance analyst. "Rates are highly likely to rise in the next few months, too, as card issuers implement the Fed's September hike," he added.
Unlike credit cards and other variable-rate loans, 15- and 30-year fixed mortgage rates don't move in lockstep with the Fed's benchmark rate. Instead, they generally track long-term Treasury yields, which have recently climbed amid concerns that ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and higher energy costs could keep inflation elevated.
As a result, 30-year fixed mortgage rates have remained above 7% for more than a month, according to Mortgage News Daily.
"There is no single switch that will bring mortgage rates meaningfully lower," said Jeff DerGurahian, LoanDepot's chief investment officer and head economist. "We likely need several factors to fall into place, including cooler oil prices, softer consumer spending and a steady run of inflation reports showing progress toward the Fed's 2% target."
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump signed an executive order that aims to reduce some mortgage costs as rising interest rates and inflation make homeownership less affordable.
Auto loan rates are fixed for the life of the loan, and market rates are tied to several factors, including the Fed's benchmark. "The headline new-car APR has essentially flatlined at the 7% threshold all year," according to Joseph Yoon, senior analyst at Edmunds.
Without a rate hike, car buyers may be offered lower rates on auto loans in the weeks ahead, but only temporarily as dealers roll out special year-end financing offers, he said.
"If that number ticks down over the next two months, it won't be because the broader lending environment suddenly turned loose," he said. "Historically, the fourth quarter creates an artificial sense of rate relief because automakers and their captive finance branches start lowering interest rates to move outgoing cars before December 31."
And yet, the "big catch," Yoon added, is that subsidized holiday rates are largely reserved for new car shoppers with top-tier credit. "For everyone else — particularly shoppers browsing the used-car lots where interest rates continue to hold above 10% — the high cost of borrowing isn't budging anytime soon," he said.
Federal student loan rates are also fixed for the life of the loan, so most borrowers are somewhat shielded from Fed moves. However, rates for new borrowers are already higher based on the results of the 10-year Treasury note auction held in May. Currently, interest rates for new federal student loans range from 6.52% to 9.07%, depending on the loan type.
On Saturday, Trump said he "might" support legislation capping federal student loan interest rates in the future. The bill, introduced by Reps. Jared Moskowitz, D-Fla., Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., and Anna Paulina Luna, R-Fla., is still in committee.
Savings rates tend to be correlated with changes in the target federal funds rate. Although holding the Fed's rate unchanged has kept savings yields largely steady, some top-yielding online savings accounts can offer above-average returns and currently pay more than 4%, according to Bankrate.
"Now is a great time to shop around for a high-yield savings account to take advantage of today's high rates," Schulz said. "The returns are below the record highs of a few years ago, but they're still far greater than what you can get from a traditional savings account with a giant megabank."
For many households, the Fed's most significant impact comes through its efforts to keep inflation in check, economists say.
When higher interest rates help slow price growth, consumers may find it easier to afford everyday necessities such as groceries and gas.
"The Fed cannot drill for oil, but it can make borrowing more expensive. Higher rates can restrain demand and limit businesses' ability to pass along costs," said Sung Won Sohn, professor of finance and economics at Loyola Marymount University and chief economist at SS Economics.
In the meantime, however, elevated borrowing costs can intensify affordability challenges for consumers. Some experts suggest consumers can help offset some of that strain by paying down high-interest debt, negotiating better loan terms and taking advantage of higher yields on savings.
"These steps can also improve access to more favorable financing options should interest rates moderate in the future," said Charlie Wise, head of global research and consulting at TransUnion.
