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Prediction markets win big on election night - Semafor
Politics • Semafor • Nov 4, 7:19 PM

Prediction markets win big on election night - Semafor

Prediction markets emerged as big winners of the midterms. Kalshi and Polymarket correctly called the Democratic sweep of Congress by wider margins than most polling models, as well as key battleground races, though they missed surprises like Texas Gov. Greg Abbott’s loss and Dem...

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